Lille vs PSG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
22.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1976 |
ASS
3 - 1
LIL
77%
15%
9%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1976 |
LIL
4 - 0
ASA
65%
20%
15%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1976 |
LEN
2 - 0
LIL
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1976 |
REI
2 - 0
LIL
63%
21%
17%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1976 |
LIL
1 - 1
MET
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1976 |
MAR
2 - 1
PSG
64%
21%
16%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1976 |
PSG
2 - 1
ASS
28%
23%
49%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1976 |
MET
1 - 2
PSG
66%
19%
16%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 1976 |
PSG
4 - 2
LEN
55%
23%
22%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1976 |
ASA
1 - 1
PSG
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |