Lille vs PSG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
29.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1972 |
AJA
0 - 1
LIL
59%
24%
18%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1972 |
LIL
3 - 0
MET
47%
28%
25%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 1971 |
REI
2 - 0
LIL
57%
24%
18%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1971 |
LIL
4 - 2
ANG
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1971 |
NAN
2 - 1
LIL
73%
17%
10%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1972 |
PSG
1 - 4
ASN
59%
21%
20%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1972 |
GIR
2 - 0
PSG
59%
19%
22%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1971 |
PSG
1 - 1
REN
53%
22%
26%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1971 |
MAR
4 - 2
PSG
76%
13%
11%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1971 |
PSG
1 - 1
AJA
61%
20%
20%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |