Lille vs Olympique Marseille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
24.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2005 |
LIL
2 - 1
LMU
61%
24%
16%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2004 |
STR
1 - 1
LIL
43%
29%
29%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
AJA
0 - 0
LIL
27%
30%
43%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2004 |
LIL
1 - 0
SEV
26%
25%
49%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
LIL
2 - 1
NAN
45%
27%
28%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2005 |
MAR
2 - 3
ANG
80%
15%
5%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2004 |
LYO
1 - 1
MAR
67%
20%
13%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
MAR
0 - 1
AUX
44%
27%
29%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
CAE
2 - 3
MAR
33%
29%
38%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
MAR
3 - 1
NAN
47%
27%
27%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |