Lille vs Olympique Marseille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
11.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
58.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
17.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.5%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1993 |
GIR
2 - 1
LIL
64%
24%
12%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1993 |
LIL
0 - 2
ASS
37%
32%
31%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1993 |
MON
1 - 0
LIL
70%
20%
11%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1993 |
LIL
0 - 0
NAN
28%
31%
41%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1993 |
TFC
1 - 1
LIL
51%
28%
21%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1993 |
MAR
0 - 3
MET
80%
14%
6%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1993 |
MAR
3 - 1
GIR
76%
16%
8%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1993 |
TFC
0 - 0
MAR
15%
25%
59%
|
91 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1993 |
MAR
3 - 1
ASS
80%
14%
6%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1993 |
MON
0 - 0
MAR
32%
27%
41%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |