Lille vs Olympique Marseille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
10.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
60.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
17.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.6%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1992 |
SOC
1 - 0
LIL
52%
27%
21%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1992 |
LIL
0 - 2
GIR
34%
34%
32%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1992 |
MON
3 - 0
LIL
67%
21%
12%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1992 |
LIL
1 - 1
LYO
50%
29%
21%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1992 |
LHA
1 - 0
LIL
45%
29%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1992 |
MAR
2 - 1
CAE
77%
15%
7%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1992 |
GLA
2 - 2
MAR
34%
28%
39%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1992 |
STR
2 - 2
MAR
19%
26%
56%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1992 |
MAR
1 - 1
MPL
76%
16%
8%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1992 |
MAR
2 - 0
DBU
77%
16%
7%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |