Lille vs Olympique Marseille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
22.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1986 |
LEN
1 - 3
LIL
63%
21%
15%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
LIL
1 - 0
TFC
42%
27%
30%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1986 |
PSG
1 - 1
LIL
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1986 |
LIL
4 - 3
ASN
52%
26%
22%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 1986 |
LHA
1 - 1
LIL
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1986 |
MAR
3 - 0
SPO
67%
20%
14%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
MET
1 - 1
MAR
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1986 |
MAR
1 - 1
AUX
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1986 |
REN
0 - 0
MAR
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1986 |
MAR
3 - 0
STL
67%
20%
13%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |