Lille vs Olympique Marseille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
24.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1985 |
ASN
1 - 0
LIL
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1985 |
LIL
0 - 0
TFC
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1985 |
MON
6 - 1
LIL
68%
20%
12%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1985 |
LIL
0 - 0
STL
53%
26%
21%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1985 |
STR
2 - 1
LIL
51%
27%
23%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1985 |
MAR
2 - 1
MET
42%
26%
33%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1985 |
ASN
3 - 1
MAR
59%
22%
19%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1985 |
STR
2 - 1
MAR
50%
26%
25%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1985 |
MAR
1 - 1
AUX
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1985 |
TFC
2 - 0
MAR
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |