Lille vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
34.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
MON
2 - 1
LIL
69%
19%
12%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
BAS
0 - 1
LIL
25%
29%
46%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2017 |
LIL
3 - 0
RED
65%
23%
12%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2017 |
LIL
0 - 0
MAR
34%
27%
39%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
ASN
1 - 2
LIL
35%
29%
36%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
NIC
2 - 1
GIR
40%
26%
34%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
NAN
1 - 1
NIC
32%
27%
40%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2017 |
NIC
2 - 2
CAE
66%
21%
14%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
DIJ
0 - 1
NIC
27%
27%
46%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2017 |
NIC
2 - 1
MPL
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |