Lille vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
13.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1999 |
ASS
3 - 2
LIL
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1999 |
GUI
1 - 0
LIL
45%
29%
26%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1999 |
FCG
0 - 1
LIL
50%
27%
24%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1999 |
LIL
2 - 0
RED
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1999 |
USB
1 - 2
LIL
31%
27%
43%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1999 |
NIC
3 - 0
RED
44%
28%
28%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1999 |
NÎM
0 - 1
NIC
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1999 |
NIC
0 - 0
TRO
28%
30%
41%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1999 |
NIO
1 - 0
NIC
57%
25%
18%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 1999 |
NIC
1 - 1
ASB
49%
28%
23%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |