Lille vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
27.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1975 |
ANG
4 - 1
LIL
62%
22%
17%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1975 |
LIL
2 - 1
REI
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1975 |
LIL
3 - 0
NAN
37%
28%
35%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1975 |
SOC
1 - 1
LIL
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 1975 |
LIL
2 - 1
STR
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1975 |
NIC
5 - 1
SOC
64%
20%
16%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1975 |
STR
2 - 1
NIC
51%
25%
25%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1975 |
NIC
2 - 1
RED
73%
17%
10%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1975 |
MAR
4 - 1
NIC
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1975 |
NIC
0 - 0
GIR
66%
19%
15%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |