Lille vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
26.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1972 |
RED
0 - 0
LIL
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1972 |
LIL
1 - 1
ASN
42%
28%
30%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1972 |
LIL
0 - 1
ANG
39%
28%
33%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1972 |
GIR
3 - 1
LIL
68%
20%
12%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 1972 |
LIL
0 - 2
MAR
26%
26%
47%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1972 |
NIC
0 - 0
REN
54%
23%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1972 |
ANG
2 - 0
NIC
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1972 |
NIC
2 - 0
MON
64%
22%
14%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1972 |
MAR
1 - 0
NIC
75%
16%
9%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 1972 |
NIC
2 - 1
LYO
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |