Lille vs Nantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
12.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
LIL
2 - 3
ROM
34%
26%
40%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
CEL
1 - 0
LIL
52%
24%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2019 |
POR
1 - 2
LIL
25%
25%
50%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
MAR
0 - 0
LIL
20%
26%
54%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2019 |
SPB
0 - 2
LIL
54%
24%
23%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2019 |
NAN
1 - 1
GEN
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2019 |
NAN
2 - 0
SPO
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2019 |
BRE
1 - 0
NAN
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2019 |
NIO
3 - 2
NAN
20%
25%
55%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2019 |
STA
1 - 0
NAN
21%
25%
55%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | -1 |