Lille vs Nantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
27.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 1990 |
MET
2 - 2
LIL
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1990 |
CAE
2 - 0
LIL
46%
27%
28%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1990 |
LIL
2 - 2
ASS
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1990 |
SPO
1 - 1
LIL
42%
29%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1990 |
SOC
1 - 0
LIL
54%
25%
21%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 1990 |
NAN
0 - 0
CAE
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1990 |
AUX
0 - 0
NAN
49%
28%
22%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1990 |
NAN
3 - 2
FCM
66%
22%
13%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1990 |
PSG
2 - 2
NAN
55%
25%
20%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1990 |
NAN
2 - 1
GIR
36%
32%
32%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |