Lille vs Nantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
31.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1987 |
NIC
1 - 0
LIL
59%
23%
17%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1987 |
LIL
1 - 1
SPO
56%
24%
19%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1987 |
LIL
3 - 0
MET
42%
28%
30%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1987 |
RAC
1 - 0
LIL
52%
26%
22%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1987 |
LIL
2 - 1
BRE
50%
26%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1987 |
NAN
2 - 3
RAC
67%
19%
14%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1987 |
MET
3 - 1
NAN
52%
25%
23%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1987 |
NAN
1 - 1
ASS
60%
24%
16%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1987 |
BRE
2 - 1
NAN
41%
28%
31%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1987 |
NAN
0 - 2
MAR
57%
25%
17%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |