Lille vs Nantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.8%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
46.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1983 |
TFC
2 - 1
LIL
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1983 |
LIL
1 - 1
GIR
34%
27%
39%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1983 |
FCR
3 - 1
LIL
49%
26%
24%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 1983 |
LIL
1 - 1
STR
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1983 |
ASN
1 - 2
LIL
73%
17%
10%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1983 |
NAN
3 - 1
REN
78%
14%
9%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1983 |
ASN
0 - 1
NAN
38%
26%
36%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1983 |
NAN
3 - 1
PSG
66%
20%
15%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 1983 |
AUX
1 - 0
NAN
31%
27%
42%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1983 |
NAN
0 - 0
MON
66%
20%
14%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |