Lille vs Nantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
40.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1982 |
NIC
2 - 0
LIL
53%
24%
24%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1981 |
LIL
2 - 0
VAL
61%
21%
18%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1981 |
ASN
1 - 1
LIL
64%
20%
15%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1981 |
LIL
1 - 1
AUX
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1981 |
LEN
1 - 0
LIL
57%
22%
21%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1982 |
NAN
3 - 1
TOU
83%
11%
6%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1981 |
NAN
7 - 0
MPL
74%
16%
11%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1981 |
BAS
1 - 0
NAN
32%
27%
41%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1981 |
NAN
0 - 0
LYO
73%
17%
10%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1981 |
NIC
3 - 0
NAN
27%
27%
46%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |