Lille vs Nantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
34.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1976 |
VAL
1 - 0
LIL
50%
26%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1976 |
LIL
1 - 0
ASS
34%
28%
38%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1976 |
LEN
4 - 2
LIL
65%
20%
15%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1976 |
LIL
3 - 3
STL
66%
20%
14%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1976 |
MET
3 - 1
LIL
67%
19%
14%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1976 |
NAN
3 - 1
ASN
60%
22%
19%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1976 |
REN
2 - 1
NAN
31%
29%
40%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1976 |
NAN
3 - 0
ANG
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1976 |
SOC
2 - 6
NAN
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 1976 |
NAN
2 - 1
TRO
67%
20%
13%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |