Lille vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
26%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1984 |
SOC
1 - 0
LIL
63%
21%
16%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1984 |
LIL
1 - 0
NÎM
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1984 |
LIL
0 - 0
BAS
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1984 |
REN
0 - 0
LIL
54%
24%
23%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1984 |
LIL
1 - 0
PSG
37%
27%
36%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1984 |
ASN
1 - 3
REN
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1984 |
BAS
0 - 1
ASN
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1984 |
ASN
0 - 1
AUX
53%
25%
23%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1984 |
PSG
1 - 1
ASN
69%
18%
13%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1984 |
ASN
2 - 2
SPO
70%
18%
12%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |