Lille vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
27.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 1981 |
AUX
1 - 2
LIL
58%
23%
20%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 1981 |
LIL
1 - 1
BRE
70%
19%
12%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 1981 |
STR
3 - 2
LIL
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1981 |
BAS
5 - 1
LIL
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 May. 1981 |
LIL
4 - 0
ANG
68%
20%
13%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 1981 |
ASN
3 - 2
MPL
61%
21%
18%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 1981 |
LYO
2 - 0
ASN
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 1981 |
MON
1 - 0
ASN
63%
20%
16%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1981 |
ASN
7 - 1
VAL
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1981 |
AUX
0 - 2
ASN
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |