Lille vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
29%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1979 |
ASN
3 - 1
LIL
68%
19%
14%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1979 |
LIL
2 - 0
MAR
52%
23%
25%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 May. 1979 |
BAS
0 - 0
LIL
68%
19%
13%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1979 |
LIL
4 - 2
SOC
56%
24%
21%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1979 |
ANG
1 - 1
LIL
53%
23%
24%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1979 |
ASN
3 - 1
LIL
68%
19%
14%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1979 |
REI
1 - 3
ASN
30%
26%
45%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1979 |
ASN
0 - 0
STR
57%
22%
21%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1979 |
NAN
3 - 0
ASN
63%
21%
17%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1979 |
ASN
5 - 1
BAS
55%
22%
23%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |