Lille vs Montpellier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.3%
30.6%
Draw
0-0
13.2%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.6%
35.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1995 |
FCM
1 - 0
LIL
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1995 |
LIL
1 - 0
REN
52%
27%
22%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1995 |
NIC
1 - 0
LIL
53%
26%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1995 |
LIL
1 - 0
PSG
19%
27%
54%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1995 |
LIL
0 - 3
CAN
30%
30%
40%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Montpellier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1995 |
MPL
0 - 3
PSG
26%
28%
46%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1995 |
AUX
0 - 1
MPL
67%
20%
13%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1995 |
MPL
3 - 2
CAE
58%
25%
18%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1995 |
LYO
2 - 1
MPL
57%
24%
19%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1995 |
MPL
2 - 0
MET
43%
28%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |