Lille vs Monaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
20.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2009 |
LMU
0 - 0
LIL
36%
29%
35%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
AUX
2 - 0
LIL
33%
30%
37%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
LIL
3 - 2
SOC
57%
24%
19%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
GIR
2 - 2
LIL
56%
25%
19%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2009 |
DUN
0 - 3
LIL
10%
24%
66%
|
86 | 49 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
MON
0 - 1
MAR
40%
28%
33%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
LOR
1 - 1
MON
35%
29%
37%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
MON
1 - 0
GRE
68%
20%
12%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
MON
1 - 0
NIC
49%
27%
24%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
CAE
2 - 2
MON
43%
27%
31%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |