Lille vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
14%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
12.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
REI
0 - 1
LIL
33%
27%
41%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
LIL
1 - 1
REN
49%
25%
26%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
LIL
1 - 2
BRE
61%
23%
16%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
AZA
2 - 1
LIL
44%
26%
30%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
LIL
2 - 0
AND
50%
25%
25%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
MET
0 - 1
MON
30%
26%
45%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
MET
1 - 1
MPL
33%
28%
40%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
STR
2 - 3
MET
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2020 |
DIJ
1 - 2
MET
49%
24%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
MET
1 - 0
KVM
35%
25%
40%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |