Lille vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
10.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2014 |
LIL
1 - 1
GCZ
60%
22%
18%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
GCZ
0 - 2
LIL
31%
26%
43%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2014 |
MAC
2 - 2
LIL
30%
26%
45%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
LOR
1 - 4
LIL
33%
26%
41%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
LIL
1 - 3
PSG
26%
25%
49%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
MET
1 - 1
REI
43%
27%
31%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2014 |
SOC
2 - 1
MET
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2014 |
AMN
0 - 2
MET
9%
19%
72%
|
72 | 33 | 39 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2014 |
STL
0 - 0
MET
33%
27%
41%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2014 |
MET
3 - 0
LHA
56%
25%
19%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |