Lille vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
20.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2001 |
DEP
1 - 1
LIL
77%
16%
7%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
MAR
0 - 0
LIL
50%
27%
23%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2001 |
OLP
2 - 1
LIL
59%
23%
18%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
LIL
1 - 0
NAN
36%
26%
38%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2001 |
LIL
1 - 1
DEP
30%
27%
43%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
GIR
1 - 0
MET
61%
23%
17%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
MET
0 - 2
MAR
48%
26%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
NAN
0 - 0
MET
64%
21%
15%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
MET
2 - 0
LYO
29%
27%
44%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
GUI
0 - 2
MET
40%
27%
33%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | +1 |