Lille vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
25%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1991 |
SPO
1 - 2
LIL
45%
28%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1991 |
LIL
1 - 1
REN
68%
22%
11%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1991 |
PSG
2 - 0
LIL
56%
25%
19%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1991 |
LIL
0 - 0
SOC
51%
27%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1991 |
LIL
1 - 0
LYO
52%
27%
21%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1991 |
MET
1 - 2
CAN
53%
27%
20%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1991 |
PSG
3 - 0
MET
55%
25%
20%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1991 |
MET
2 - 1
AUX
38%
28%
34%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1991 |
LHA
0 - 0
MET
35%
28%
37%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1991 |
MET
1 - 3
MPL
52%
27%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |