Lille vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
26.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1991 |
LIL
0 - 2
ASN
52%
26%
22%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1991 |
CAE
0 - 0
LIL
44%
28%
28%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1991 |
LIL
1 - 1
LYO
51%
27%
22%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1991 |
NIC
4 - 1
LIL
45%
28%
27%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1991 |
LIL
1 - 0
AUX
37%
29%
34%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1991 |
MET
1 - 1
CAE
52%
27%
21%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1991 |
LYO
3 - 1
MET
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1991 |
MET
2 - 2
SOC
47%
28%
24%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1991 |
AUX
3 - 1
MET
60%
24%
16%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1991 |
MET
1 - 0
NIC
51%
27%
23%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |