Lille vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
23%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1990 |
MPL
5 - 0
LIL
55%
23%
21%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1990 |
LIL
2 - 1
RAC
59%
23%
18%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1990 |
MAR
4 - 1
LIL
75%
16%
9%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1990 |
LIL
3 - 0
TFC
49%
26%
25%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1990 |
NAN
1 - 0
LIL
47%
28%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1990 |
MET
1 - 0
ASS
53%
25%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1990 |
SOC
0 - 0
MET
56%
25%
19%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1990 |
MET
0 - 0
RAC
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1990 |
SPO
1 - 1
MET
41%
29%
30%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1990 |
MET
1 - 0
MPL
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |