Lille vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
32.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1986 |
LIL
2 - 0
PSG
29%
27%
44%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1986 |
LEN
1 - 4
LIL
72%
18%
11%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 1986 |
LIL
1 - 0
SPO
48%
27%
25%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1985 |
NAN
5 - 1
LIL
71%
18%
10%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1985 |
LIL
2 - 0
REN
54%
25%
22%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1986 |
MET
1 - 1
TFC
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1986 |
BAS
0 - 0
MET
30%
28%
41%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1985 |
STR
0 - 0
MET
28%
29%
43%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1985 |
MET
3 - 2
MON
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1985 |
NAN
1 - 0
MET
65%
21%
15%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | -1 |