Lille vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1980 |
NAN
4 - 1
LIL
78%
15%
8%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1980 |
LIL
2 - 1
LEN
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1980 |
ASS
3 - 1
LIL
77%
14%
9%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 1980 |
LIL
1 - 2
VAL
61%
22%
18%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1980 |
TOU
3 - 3
LIL
42%
26%
32%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1980 |
MET
1 - 1
MON
39%
27%
34%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1980 |
VAL
3 - 0
MET
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1980 |
MET
2 - 2
AUX
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1980 |
PSG
1 - 1
MET
63%
21%
17%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1980 |
MET
4 - 1
STR
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |