Lille vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1967 |
LIL
0 - 1
LEN
47%
24%
29%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1967 |
MON
3 - 1
LIL
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1967 |
LIL
0 - 1
SOC
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1967 |
GIR
2 - 1
LIL
67%
19%
15%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1967 |
LIL
2 - 1
ANG
40%
24%
36%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1967 |
SOC
3 - 2
MET
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1967 |
MET
1 - 1
ANG
30%
25%
45%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1967 |
REN
0 - 0
MET
66%
19%
15%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1967 |
MET
3 - 1
LYO
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1967 |
AJA
2 - 1
MET
50%
24%
27%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |