Lille vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
10.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
BRE
3 - 2
LIL
16%
24%
59%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2020 |
ACM
0 - 3
LIL
67%
20%
14%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
LIL
1 - 1
LYO
34%
24%
42%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2020 |
LIL
2 - 2
CEL
35%
26%
40%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
NIC
1 - 1
LIL
36%
26%
38%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
LOR
0 - 2
NAN
41%
28%
31%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
DIJ
0 - 0
LOR
43%
25%
32%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
LOR
0 - 1
MAR
21%
24%
55%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
REI
1 - 3
LOR
52%
25%
24%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
REN
2 - 0
LOR
64%
20%
16%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |