Lille vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
24.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1998 |
FCG
4 - 0
LIL
45%
28%
27%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1998 |
LIL
4 - 1
RED
72%
18%
10%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1998 |
LMU
1 - 0
LIL
38%
29%
33%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1997 |
LMU
1 - 1
LIL
42%
29%
29%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1997 |
LIL
2 - 1
NÎM
70%
19%
12%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1998 |
LOR
2 - 0
ASB
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1998 |
LAV
0 - 4
LOR
11%
19%
70%
|
73 | 37 | 36 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1998 |
FCM
0 - 1
LOR
45%
26%
30%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 1998 |
LHA
5 - 3
LOR
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1997 |
LOR
4 - 0
ASS
67%
20%
13%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |