Lille vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
32.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1984 |
MET
1 - 0
LIL
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1984 |
LIL
1 - 0
STL
44%
28%
28%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 1984 |
NAN
2 - 1
LIL
73%
17%
10%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1983 |
LIL
0 - 0
TFC
41%
26%
33%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1983 |
GIR
5 - 2
LIL
73%
17%
10%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1984 |
LEN
2 - 2
STR
66%
20%
14%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1984 |
REN
1 - 1
LEN
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1984 |
LEN
1 - 0
BAS
72%
17%
11%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1983 |
AUX
4 - 0
LEN
55%
24%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1983 |
LEN
0 - 3
PSG
54%
23%
24%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |