Lille vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
22.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1980 |
ASS
3 - 1
LIL
77%
14%
9%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1980 |
LIL
1 - 2
VAL
61%
22%
18%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1980 |
TOU
3 - 3
LIL
42%
26%
32%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1980 |
LIL
2 - 3
AUX
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 1980 |
STL
4 - 2
LIL
55%
24%
22%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1980 |
LEN
5 - 0
BAS
61%
22%
18%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1980 |
LYO
4 - 1
LEN
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1980 |
LEN
0 - 0
ASN
56%
22%
22%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1980 |
GIR
5 - 1
LEN
61%
21%
18%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 1980 |
LEN
2 - 0
NIC
64%
20%
16%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |