Lille vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
28.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1965 |
CAN
2 - 0
LIL
42%
25%
33%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1965 |
LIL
1 - 0
TFC
49%
22%
29%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1965 |
MON
2 - 0
LIL
55%
23%
23%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1965 |
LIL
5 - 0
SPO
70%
17%
13%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1965 |
SOC
2 - 1
LIL
54%
22%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1965 |
LEN
2 - 2
ANG
60%
20%
20%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1965 |
NAN
4 - 2
LEN
62%
19%
19%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1965 |
LEN
1 - 0
SFP
66%
19%
16%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 May. 1965 |
LYO
1 - 1
LEN
42%
25%
33%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1965 |
LEN
0 - 3
STR
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |