Lille vs Istres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
11.1%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
ASS
0 - 0
LIL
39%
29%
32%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2005 |
AUX
0 - 0
LIL
58%
24%
17%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
LIL
1 - 1
TFC
59%
24%
16%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2005 |
LIL
0 - 1
AUX
43%
29%
28%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
BAS
3 - 1
LIL
33%
30%
37%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Istres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
IST
1 - 1
NIC
28%
27%
45%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
LYO
2 - 1
IST
82%
13%
5%
|
71 | 91 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
IST
0 - 1
GIR
24%
27%
49%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
MAR
1 - 1
IST
73%
18%
9%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
IST
1 - 0
AUX
19%
29%
52%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | +1 |