Lille vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
MPL
1 - 0
LIL
41%
30%
30%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
LIL
2 - 1
PSG
40%
28%
32%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
STR
2 - 2
LIL
44%
29%
27%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2002 |
STU
2 - 0
LIL
55%
26%
19%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2002 |
LIL
0 - 0
TRO
50%
25%
24%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
GUI
0 - 0
NIC
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
LHA
1 - 2
GUI
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
GUI
0 - 0
GIR
30%
27%
43%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
AUX
2 - 1
GUI
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
GUI
3 - 0
REN
38%
26%
36%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |