Q. Europa League Tercera Ronda Final
Global 4-0
Lille vs Sloboda Uzice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.7%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
10%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.6%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.8%
5.4%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2009 |
SLO
0 - 2
LIL
21%
28%
51%
|
86 | 57 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
LIL
3 - 2
ASN
59%
24%
17%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
LHA
0 - 1
LIL
31%
29%
41%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
LIL
1 - 1
NIC
59%
24%
17%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2009 |
TFC
0 - 0
LIL
38%
29%
33%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sloboda Uzice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2009 |
SLO
0 - 2
LIL
21%
28%
51%
|
57 | 86 | 29 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2009 |
FBK
1 - 1
SLO
79%
15%
7%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2009 |
SLO
0 - 0
FBK
18%
21%
61%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
SLO
4 - 0
NPA
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
SRE
1 - 2
SLO
36%
29%
36%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |