Lille vs Niort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
16%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
11.4%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2000 |
ESW
2 - 1
LIL
25%
28%
47%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2000 |
LIL
2 - 0
TFC
51%
26%
23%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2000 |
CSL
1 - 2
LIL
24%
29%
47%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2000 |
CAL
1 - 1
LIL
15%
24%
62%
|
76 | 45 | 31 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2000 |
LIL
1 - 0
CHA
63%
23%
15%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2000 |
NIO
0 - 3
CAN
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2000 |
NIO
2 - 1
SOC
32%
29%
39%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2000 |
FCG
2 - 2
NIO
60%
24%
16%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2000 |
NIO
1 - 0
LOR
35%
28%
37%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2000 |
LYO
1 - 3
NIO
23%
26%
51%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |