Lille vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.7%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
22.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1991 |
NÎM
1 - 0
LIL
42%
28%
31%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1991 |
LIL
0 - 2
MET
48%
27%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1991 |
SPO
1 - 2
LIL
45%
28%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1991 |
LIL
1 - 1
REN
68%
22%
11%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1991 |
PSG
2 - 0
LIL
56%
25%
19%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1991 |
CAE
2 - 0
PSG
45%
30%
25%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1991 |
REN
1 - 0
CAE
38%
29%
32%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1991 |
CAE
1 - 0
MON
27%
29%
44%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1991 |
CAN
2 - 0
CAE
56%
25%
19%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1991 |
CAE
5 - 1
ASN
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |