Lille vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1989 |
LIL
8 - 0
STL
62%
23%
15%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1989 |
RAC
1 - 0
LIL
46%
27%
27%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 May. 1989 |
LIL
1 - 1
STR
61%
23%
16%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1989 |
NIC
0 - 1
LIL
53%
25%
23%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1989 |
LIL
2 - 2
ASS
51%
26%
23%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 1989 |
CAE
2 - 0
NAN
42%
28%
31%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1989 |
CAE
3 - 0
CAN
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 May. 1989 |
GIR
2 - 3
CAE
77%
14%
9%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1989 |
CAE
1 - 0
LEN
59%
22%
19%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1989 |
STL
1 - 1
CAE
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |