Lille vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
25.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
AUX
3 - 2
LIL
48%
27%
25%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
LIL
2 - 0
STR
58%
25%
17%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2005 |
LIL
1 - 0
MUD
23%
27%
50%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
MAR
1 - 1
LIL
48%
27%
25%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2005 |
ASS
0 - 2
LIL
38%
30%
32%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
SPB
3 - 2
SLB
28%
27%
45%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
SLB
2 - 2
RIO
70%
19%
11%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2005 |
SLB
0 - 1
VIL
35%
28%
37%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
NAV
1 - 1
SLB
24%
25%
51%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
SLB
2 - 0
EST
80%
15%
5%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |