Lille vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
24.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2001 |
MUD
1 - 0
LIL
78%
15%
7%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
TRO
0 - 1
LIL
49%
27%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
LIL
1 - 0
GUI
58%
23%
19%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
LEN
1 - 1
LIL
65%
21%
14%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2001 |
LIL
0 - 1
PAR
36%
27%
37%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
BAS
0 - 1
AUX
48%
26%
26%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
MET
0 - 1
BAS
47%
26%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
BAS
1 - 0
MAR
50%
25%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
NAN
1 - 2
BAS
64%
21%
15%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
BAS
1 - 2
LYO
31%
27%
42%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |