Lille vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
18.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1984 |
GIR
2 - 0
LIL
73%
17%
10%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1984 |
LIL
3 - 1
PSG
37%
28%
35%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 1984 |
BRE
0 - 0
LIL
53%
24%
23%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1984 |
LIL
2 - 0
ASN
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1984 |
SOC
1 - 0
LIL
63%
21%
16%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1984 |
BAS
1 - 1
ASN
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1984 |
TFC
3 - 0
BAS
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 1984 |
BAS
1 - 0
MON
33%
29%
38%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1984 |
BAS
4 - 2
STR
48%
28%
25%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1984 |
GIR
2 - 1
BAS
76%
16%
8%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |