Lille vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
19.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1983 |
GIR
2 - 0
LIL
69%
19%
12%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1983 |
LIL
4 - 0
FCM
66%
20%
15%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1983 |
NAN
1 - 0
LIL
76%
15%
8%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1983 |
LIL
2 - 0
ASN
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1983 |
ASS
1 - 0
LIL
67%
21%
12%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1983 |
BAS
0 - 3
MET
52%
24%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1983 |
STL
1 - 0
BAS
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1983 |
BAS
2 - 1
LYO
58%
24%
19%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1983 |
BRE
4 - 2
BAS
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1983 |
BAS
1 - 1
PSG
37%
27%
36%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |