Lille vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
24.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
SOC
1 - 1
LIL
40%
30%
30%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
LIL
2 - 1
GIR
36%
28%
36%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
REN
2 - 1
LIL
51%
26%
23%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
LIL
1 - 3
LMU
52%
25%
23%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
ASN
0 - 0
LIL
45%
28%
27%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
AUX
1 - 1
ASN
47%
28%
25%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
LOR
0 - 2
AUX
32%
27%
40%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
AUX
0 - 1
NIC
50%
27%
23%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
MAR
4 - 0
AUX
62%
21%
17%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
AUX
2 - 1
NAN
54%
25%
21%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |