Lille vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.4%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
37.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2004 |
SLA
1 - 1
LIL
33%
28%
39%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2004 |
LIL
3 - 0
SLA
65%
22%
13%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2004 |
DNM
2 - 2
LIL
45%
27%
29%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2004 |
LIL
2 - 1
DNM
56%
25%
20%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
LYO
3 - 0
LIL
71%
19%
11%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2004 |
NIC
1 - 1
AUX
28%
30%
42%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
AUX
2 - 0
NAN
49%
26%
25%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2004 |
LEN
1 - 3
AUX
41%
28%
31%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
AUX
1 - 1
AJA
68%
20%
12%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
LMU
2 - 1
AUX
24%
29%
46%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |