Lille vs Angers SCO analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
7.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
2º
8º
5º
1
12º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
12 | 80 |
1º
|
82.5% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 68 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 64 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 58 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
|
8º
|
6 | 58 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 57 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 56 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 47 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 45 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 44 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 42 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 41 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 38 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 34 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 33 |
15º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 32 |
16º
|
16% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 31 |
17º
|
18% | |
|
|
17º
|
1 | 25 |
18º
|
52.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
19% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
13.5% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
18.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
10.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
38.5% | 18.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 8.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 73% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
LIL
2 - 0
SLP
67%
19%
14%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
REI
0 - 2
LIL
27%
27%
46%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
FEN
1 - 1
LIL
45%
25%
30%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
LIL
2 - 1
FEN
59%
22%
19%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
LIL
3 - 1
CEL
58%
22%
20%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Angers SCO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ANG
0 - 1
LEN
21%
24%
56%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
LOR
2 - 1
ANG
50%
24%
26%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
REN
2 - 1
ANG
79%
14%
8%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
LMU
2 - 0
ANG
25%
23%
52%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
VOL
2 - 3
ANG
8%
17%
76%
|
73 | 47 | 26 | 0 |