Lille vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
13.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2005 |
NAN
1 - 3
LIL
46%
28%
26%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
LIL
1 - 0
PSG
45%
27%
27%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
MON
2 - 0
LIL
69%
19%
12%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
STR
1 - 2
LIL
43%
28%
29%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
LIL
2 - 1
LEN
53%
25%
22%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2005 |
AJA
0 - 1
NIC
38%
28%
34%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
LYO
2 - 1
AJA
77%
16%
8%
|
77 | 91 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
AJA
0 - 0
GIR
31%
29%
41%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
MAR
1 - 2
AJA
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
AJA
4 - 3
AUX
23%
29%
48%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | +1 |